Horse Racing

Supercomputer predicts Grand National upset with 33-1 and 40-1 outsiders tipped to challenge big favourite Cloth Cap

A SUPERCOMPUTER has predicted an upset is on the cards at the Grand National, with 33-1 and 40-1 outsiders tipped to shine.

Experts have run the data on all the previous Grand Nationals at Aintree – dating right back to 1863.

And they have unearthed some suprising statisitics that show why some big price horses could give huge favourite Cloth Cap a run for his money.

However, their findings also confirm why the current 7-2 favourite is at the head of the betting.

Boffins delved deep into the figures to look at the most common characteristics of winning horses.

They looked at the horses’ ages, weights, names, the colour of the silks of the winning jockey and the name of the trainer.

Put all together, Cloth Cap, the Jonjo O’Neill-trained runner owned by British billionaire Trevor Hemmings, matched the historical record most closely.

However, alongside other fancies Any Second Now (9-1) and Kimberlite Candy (10-1) were two roughies set to cause a stir.

One of those is the Willie Mullins-trained Class Conti, who comes in at 33-1.

The nine-year-old gelding has been running at three miles and above since December 2019 and caught the eye at Naas last month when fourth.

Class Conti was found to have three matching characteristics – weight, age and riders’ colours – with previous winners.

That was the same as big 40-1 chance The Long Mile, who is owned by Irish racing tycoon JP McManus.

The seven-year-old gelding has campaigned in Ireland all his life, and mostly over soft and heavy ground.

That could be cause for concern at Aintree, where staff have already had to water the course to stop it becoming too firm.


However, he was a match for previous winners when it came down to most common jockey riding colours, weight and the first letter of the trainer’s name.

The average weight a winner of the Grand National carries is between ten and 11 stone.

Nine-year-old horses have won the race more than any other, while green silks are the best for a jockey to wear, accounting for 12 winners.

11 winning riders have worn predominantly blue tops, with red and black the next best at six apiece.

The study was carried out by experts at gamblingdeals.com and all odds were correct at the time of writing.


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